ramp808 entry 120s when cap_120s>=2x cap_60s, exit 600s
v3 pools · A hold to birth+600s, 7% cost, pull=0 · paper, $10 a trade, since 29 Oct · idea #808 · updated 31 Oct 07:26 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: forward n=17/15 reached 30 Oct; audit requested (replay n217 3.36x, fwd 3.42x, pulls 11/17 = pull=0 assumption needs outside-sell check); decide-by 3 Nov
Still open:
- Not audited yet
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: forward mean <1.05 at n>=20. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
+$651.64
Trades done
21
9 up, 12 down
Best trade
18.6x
Exit rule shown
A
trail 100% tp3
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 200 trades, mean 3.35x, +$4706.99 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule A, numbered in time order.
Every trade (exit rule A)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0x383e8360c6e15d39627d9b7fc3330f0c5ef1f14e | 31 Oct 06:18 | $10 | time | 7.25x (+624.5%) +$62.45 |
| 20 | 0x0757883f57db0c7f8045c77dedbec22b5b9168e7 | 31 Oct 02:41 | $10 | time | 7.13x (+612.7%) +$61.27 |
| 19 | 0x9463cff680dc69a681478ec73617f5f859fc74f7 | 30 Oct 23:58 | $10 | time | 13.67x (+1267.0%) +$126.70 |
| 18 | 0x5258f3c3ba7bf2b777d5b12000ea4f857ebd4da6 | 30 Oct 20:10 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 17 | 0xf8bd79f4b53473ba40636c7ed9553ddfbe223044 | 30 Oct 17:57 | $10 | time | 5.34x (+433.7%) +$43.37 |
| 16 | 0x78ebf0726d9aa7601861a48c149bad32fac69ab2 | 30 Oct 14:48 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 15 | 0x0d19eb0284a284660c2b06a6889551275176207a | 30 Oct 14:17 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 14 | 0xd5723ee49b8f5ce317cd2d92fc8e658d43c9442e | 30 Oct 12:48 | $10 | time | 8.82x (+782.3%) +$78.23 |
| 13 | 0x95918c10f22132dafebbfd7360f33cc12c556849 | 30 Oct 08:21 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 12 | 0x61cd8d67d3a5b580d4b7ad9c79be236754a42663 | 30 Oct 05:46 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 11 | 0x05ea45992e5f86bb2d8e22f9540948ae5b8b7a7a | 30 Oct 05:31 | $10 | time | 6.78x (+578.0%) +$57.80 |
| 10 | 0xd00cf0b70b5d0db89e0591b456a94258c717d344 | 30 Oct 05:20 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 9 | 0xead50f2431ad54dc4c8c35ce25ba7f94d9fe6ee1 | 30 Oct 05:09 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 8 | 0x712f835aee5baa57b358396d1b3b62311e6fa990 | 30 Oct 04:52 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 7 | 0x28ccd684997df9cb073e09ebd55252ea8d46d3fd | 30 Oct 04:37 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 6 | 0xbc588cbf11a8b48e211b4a39bdb92291479f3d5d | 30 Oct 03:27 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 5 | 0xd0d47574b287851297c81090660c4e1839bb8995 | 30 Oct 01:47 | $10 | time | 18.60x (+1760.0%) +$176.00 |
| 4 | 0x37f6127122710e6a85dd103e01daabffb2fcdb6c | 30 Oct 01:23 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
| 3 | 0xa68919fc200df5bff604782a2e929e817167caf4 | 29 Oct 21:19 | $10 | time | 11.82x (+1081.7%) +$108.17 |
| 2 | 0xaac6471120391ff87c3e2c86281dac656555402b | 29 Oct 19:32 | $10 | time | 6.76x (+576.5%) +$57.65 |
| 1 | 0xae1b6bedcc98b13cca3166b70b6b5f00d0d7a571 | 29 Oct 16:40 | $10 | pull | 0.00x (-100.0%) -$10.00 |
Full Test Manager report
# ramp808 (rule B, ledger #808) ramp entry paper test - 31 Oct 00:26 UTC
Rule: fw/a2-miss-29oct.md. Entry birth+120s+6s, exit last swap <=birth+600s, cost 7%, pull=0. v3 pools only (pp-paths also had v4 venues; not covered).
- Replay since 6 Oct (analyst fit period incl.): n 221, mean 3.42x, <1x 117, pull 105
- FORWARD (entry from registration): n 21, mean 4.10x, <1x 12, pull 12
- Skipped: {'rule off': 5131, 'no swaps': 329, 'no entry swap in time': 18}
- Kill: forward mean <1.05 at n>=20.