{"id": "thin819", "name": "thin819 v3 thin wakers (first cap<5k) entry +300s if cap 100k-1.5M, exit +30 min", "sub": "v3 pools \u00b7 hold to birth+1800s, 7% cost, pull=0, 20x ratio cap", "idea": "#819", "status": "running", "since": "30 Oct", "main_arm": "A", "kill": "forward mean <1.05 at n>=20", "arm_col": null, "verified": false, "checks": ["Not audited yet"], "kind_label": null, "group": null, "verify_link": "http://159.223.88.168/hx-c9ois/fw/tm-thin819.md", "hunt": "entry: birth+306s, thin v3 (first cap<5k), cap_300s 100k-1.5M; exit +30 min; target 5M-20M tier", "blocker": "needs forward n>=15 (now 0, built 30 Oct); decide by 3 Nov", "expected_per_day": 3.5, "kind": "paper", "updated": 1793406812.7442896, "replay": {"n": 105, "mean_x": 1.526, "pnl_usd": 551.82}, "trades_rows": [{"pool": "0xd5723ee49b8f5ce317cd2d92fc8e658d43c9442e", "entry_t": "1793339514", "entry_cap": "391527", "first_cap": "752", "exit600": "time", "net_x600": "1.326", "raw600": "1.326", "exit1800": "time", "net_x1800": "4.297", "raw1800": "4.297", "birth": "1793339206", "net_x": "4.297", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0xf8bd79f4b53473ba40636c7ed9553ddfbe223044", "entry_t": "1793358055", "entry_cap": "136562", "first_cap": "751", "exit600": "time", "net_x600": "1.247", "raw600": "1.247", "exit1800": "time", "net_x1800": "2.299", "raw1800": "2.299", "birth": "1793357737", "net_x": "2.299", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x9463cff680dc69a681478ec73617f5f859fc74f7", "entry_t": "1793379673", "entry_cap": "1038706", "first_cap": "745", "exit600": "time", "net_x600": "1.023", "raw600": "1.023", "exit1800": "time", "net_x1800": "1.224", "raw1800": "1.224", "birth": "1793379367", "net_x": "1.224", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x0757883f57db0c7f8045c77dedbec22b5b9168e7", "entry_t": "1793389465", "entry_cap": "476990", "first_cap": "745", "exit600": "time", "net_x600": "1.485", "raw600": "1.485", "exit1800": "time", "net_x1800": "1.628", "raw1800": "1.628", "birth": "1793389157", "net_x": "1.628", "src": "fwd"}, {"pool": "0x383e8360c6e15d39627d9b7fc3330f0c5ef1f14e", "entry_t": "1793402494", "entry_cap": "366548", "first_cap": "749", "exit600": "time", "net_x600": "1.265", "raw600": "1.265", "exit1800": "time", "net_x1800": "1.418", "raw1800": "1.418", "birth": "1793402178", "net_x": "1.418", "src": "fwd"}], "arms": {"A": {"n": 5, "mean_x": 2.173, "median_x": 1.628, "wins_2x": 2, "runners_10x": 0, "losers": 0, "pnl_usd": 58.66}}, "arm_notes": {"A": "hold 1800s"}, "trades": 5, "pnl_usd": 58.66, "report_md": "# thin819 (ledger #819) - 31 Oct 00:33 UTC\nRule: v3 first cap<5k, entry birth+306s if cap_300s 100k-1.5M. cost 7%, pull=0, 20x ratio cap.\n- ALL exit600: n 110, mean 1.12x, median 1.02x, <1x 53, >=3x 8, pulls 15\n- ALL exit1800: n 110, mean 1.55x, median 1.07x, <1x 53, >=3x 20, pulls 17 | uncapped mean 1.55x\n- cap 100-250k exit600: n 25, mean 1.55x, median 1.41x, <1x 7, >=3x 3, pulls 2\n- cap 100-250k exit1800: n 25, mean 2.41x, median 1.30x, <1x 11, >=3x 8, pulls 2 | uncapped mean 2.41x\n- cap 250k-1M exit600: n 71, mean 1.05x, median 0.95x, <1x 36, >=3x 5, pulls 10\n- cap 250k-1M exit1800: n 71, mean 1.36x, median 1.07x, <1x 34, >=3x 11, pulls 11 | uncapped mean 1.36x\n- cap 1-1.5M exit600: n 13, mean 0.75x, median 0.90x, <1x 9, >=3x 0, pulls 3\n- cap 1-1.5M exit1800: n 13, mean 1.12x, median 0.92x, <1x 7, >=3x 1, pulls 4 | uncapped mean 1.12x\n- FORWARD exit600: n 5, mean 1.27x, median 1.26x, <1x 0, >=3x 0, pulls 0\n- FORWARD exit1800: n 5, mean 2.17x, median 1.63x, <1x 0, >=3x 1, pulls 0 | uncapped mean 2.17x\n- Skipped: {'cap band off': 1348, 'not thin': 3903, 'no swaps': 329, 'no entry swap': 1}\n"}