v3s813 V3SEED30 v3 first cap<15k, enter 36s, exit 300s

v3 pools · hold to birth+300s, 7% cost, pull=0 · paper, $10 a trade, since 29 Oct · idea #813 · updated 30 Oct 02:16 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: needs forward n>=15 (built 29 Oct) then audit; owner testmgr; decide by 3 Nov

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: forward mean <1.05 at n>=20. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$418.98
Trades done
20
5 up, 15 down
Best trade
18.6x
Exit rule shown
A
fixed-time exit

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 2446 trades, mean 1.05x, +$1340.45 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule A, numbered in time order.

$0$200$400trade 1 at 29 Oct 19:31 18.60x +$176.00#1trade 2 at 29 Oct 20:34 0.00x -$10.00#2trade 3 at 29 Oct 20:40 0.00x -$10.00#3trade 4 at 29 Oct 21:18 18.60x +$176.00#4trade 5 at 29 Oct 21:44 1.52x +$5.25#5trade 6 at 29 Oct 23:13 0.93x -$0.70#6trade 7 at 29 Oct 23:19 1.72x +$7.23#7trade 8 at 29 Oct 23:20 0.93x -$0.70#8trade 9 at 30 Oct 00:26 0.00x -$10.00#9trade 10 at 30 Oct 00:31 0.00x -$10.00#10trade 11 at 30 Oct 00:42 0.00x -$10.00#11trade 12 at 30 Oct 00:51 0.00x -$10.00#12trade 13 at 30 Oct 01:15 0.00x -$10.00#13trade 14 at 30 Oct 01:22 0.00x -$10.00#14trade 15 at 30 Oct 01:24 0.00x -$10.00#15trade 16 at 30 Oct 01:30 0.99x -$0.10#16trade 17 at 30 Oct 01:38 0.00x -$10.00#17trade 18 at 30 Oct 01:46 18.60x +$176.00#18trade 19 at 30 Oct 02:05 0.00x -$10.00#19trade 20 at 30 Oct 02:07 0.00x -$10.00#2019:2121:0822:5500:4202:29
Every trade (exit rule A)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
200x1425d87970bdf74bcef3bf4f1e56be1530f98d0730 Oct 02:07$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
190x8246b60d2e227b90ce68111db51beedffcc1e49d30 Oct 02:05$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
180xd0d47574b287851297c81090660c4e1839bb899530 Oct 01:46$10time18.60x (+1760.0%)
+$176.00
170x12f3d75589ed7d99f10a9bdd8549de44c21bc65630 Oct 01:38$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
160xc1fdc3fe04049ea2839be0686a5977673b8e40de30 Oct 01:30$10time0.99x (-1.0%)
-$0.10
150x403b6871d67b4c033c332ae9e50b1134ea4db88530 Oct 01:24$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
140x37f6127122710e6a85dd103e01daabffb2fcdb6c30 Oct 01:22$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
130xab12cc6c1b6b8d631555dc3895229d6a5fc75ff130 Oct 01:15$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
120x360bd1875ed3b86bac490d372bc1f994aed8cbf430 Oct 00:51$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
110x51f5b1df32be8f7d480b6ccbb43c60a0f8402c0330 Oct 00:42$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
100xc45ce16262fcf4b6a59dd7fba1c13e0eddfda2a830 Oct 00:31$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
90xf0c46fddd36a7d80843a1d4a3d6da1b05ceefb3730 Oct 00:26$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
80x0f9e1815b966c56400219f590e1c8d40c5f7da1429 Oct 23:20$10time0.93x (-7.0%)
-$0.70
70xedeaadff4d3c51dcbf2af79adcdf595e6a621f9a29 Oct 23:19$10time1.72x (+72.3%)
+$7.23
60x6c8ff1ae9ecc90d23ee25376dc2df838e2fbda0229 Oct 23:13$10time0.93x (-7.0%)
-$0.70
50x9f63d2194d18cfd734efbee5d27c94e9f9771e4a29 Oct 21:44$10time1.52x (+52.5%)
+$5.25
40xa68919fc200df5bff604782a2e929e817167caf429 Oct 21:18$10time18.60x (+1760.0%)
+$176.00
30x65fbbe4f27f73d773e0221ba656cb3ba18b4b72929 Oct 20:40$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
20x192b5cdd1773a15576a0d0e2eb4d33f834177a3129 Oct 20:34$10pull0.00x (-100.0%)
-$10.00
10xaac6471120391ff87c3e2c86281dac656555402b29 Oct 19:31$10time18.60x (+1760.0%)
+$176.00
Full Test Manager report
# v3s813 (ledger #813 V3SEED30) v3 first cap<15k, entry birth+36s, exit last swap <=birth+300s - 29 Oct 19:16 UTC
Cost 7%, pull=0. buyers_60s>=3 and depth_5m>=15k dropped (measured after entry = look-ahead).
- Replay since 6 Oct (analyst fit period incl.): n 2466, mean 1.07x, <1x 1932, pull 1617
- FORWARD (entry from registration): n 20, mean 3.09x, <1x 15, pull 12
- Skipped: {'no entry swap in time': 2006, 'rule off': 667, 'no swaps': 320}
- Kill: forward mean <1.05 at n>=20.