w815 WETH5S v4 WETH-quote no-hook pool, enter 5s cap 5-15k, exit 600s
v4 native hook pools · hold to t0+600, fee+3% slip, pull=0 · paper, $10 a trade, since 30 Oct · idea #815 · updated 31 Oct 07:30 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.
Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven
Waiting for: needs forward n>=15 (built 30 Oct; cron pending ops) then audit; owner testmgr; decide by 4 Nov
Still open:
- Not audited yet
Paper run, no real money
Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: forward mean <1.05 at n>=20. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.
Total P&L
+$34.37
Trades done
2
2 up, 0 down
Best trade
2.8x
Exit rule shown
A
fixed-time exit
Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 14 trades, mean 3.32x, +$324.48 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.
P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)
Each step is a trade with exit rule A, numbered in time order.
Every trade (exit rule A)
| # | Pool | Time | In | Why sold | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0x231fe92f1044c503245183fcd86c77bf50a61439f6a39b488bd02ec79b82c747 | 31 Oct 00:20 | $10 | time | 2.59x (+159.1%) +$15.91 |
| 1 | 0x89fa93510319dd4e344db178a2afb5d4bea397b02769d1c27295973b0a270314 | 31 Oct 00:10 | $10 | time | 2.85x (+184.6%) +$18.46 |
Full Test Manager report
# w815 (ledger #815) fixed-time v4 paper test - 31 Oct 00:30 UTC
Rule: w815 WETH5S: WETH-quote NO-hook pool, enter >=t0+5+3s if cap@5s 5-15k, exit last swap <=t0+600. w816 WETHHOOK60: WETH-quote HOOK pool, enter >=t0+60+3s if cap@60s 40-100k, exit last swap <=t0+600.
- buyers_60s / depth_5m filters dropped (measured after entry = look-ahead).
- Replay (analyst fit period incl.): n 16, mean 3.24x, <1x 3, pull 3
- FORWARD (entry from registration): n 2, mean 2.72x, <1x 0, pull 0
- Waiting 3; skipped {'cap outside window': 96, 'no supply': 3, 'no entry swap in time': 2}
- Kill: forward mean <1.05 at n>=20. Sell sim for hooked pools still to do (hn811).