w816 WETHHOOK60 v4 WETH-quote hooked pool, enter 60s cap 40-100k, exit 600s

v4 native hook pools · hold to t0+600, fee+3% slip, pull=0 · paper, $10 a trade, since 30 Oct · idea #816 · updated 31 Oct 07:32 Bangkok, refreshes every minute.

Not verified yet: treat these numbers as unproven

Waiting for: needs forward n>=15 (built 30 Oct; cron pending ops) then audit; owner testmgr; decide by 4 Nov

Still open:

Paper run, no real money

Test Manager forward test on research-box. Kill rule: forward mean <1.05 at n>=20. Live only after 2 profitable days without bugs; only Ben switches.

Total P&L
+$94.50
Trades done
4
4 up, 0 down
Best trade
3.6x
Exit rule shown
A
fixed-time exit

Replay of past coins (not in the numbers above): 123 trades, mean 3.73x, +$3354.68 at $10. Backtest, no forward evidence.

P&L over time (US dollars, Bangkok time)

Each step is a trade with exit rule A, numbered in time order.

$0$25$50$75trade 1 at 30 Oct 12:43 3.64x +$26.37#1trade 2 at 30 Oct 14:45 3.50x +$25.00#2trade 3 at 30 Oct 17:24 3.64x +$26.42#3trade 4 at 30 Oct 18:10 2.67x +$16.71#412:3317:1822:0402:5007:36
Every trade (exit rule A)
#PoolTimeInWhy soldResult
40x90a7d9eb4c86d52681df83f4628f65c35085e9cbdc3949960bfa2e7d0490cfd730 Oct 18:10$10time2.67x (+167.1%)
+$16.71
30x1f832783989903faa64e04890b429ac04e3900ebdc6b8d92d24189f0ba3668fe30 Oct 17:24$10time3.64x (+264.2%)
+$26.42
20xf18329d83e20e10a5bb9d088505280ee1862070c8ea39cc3bc8133847aac834730 Oct 14:45$10time3.50x (+250.0%)
+$25.00
10x360c15a58f6ce73dfab3257cebe3bb281050e0a581b82633662d58706c65bb6130 Oct 12:43$10time3.64x (+263.7%)
+$26.37
Full Test Manager report
# w816 (ledger #816) fixed-time v4 paper test - 31 Oct 00:32 UTC
Rule: w815 WETH5S: WETH-quote NO-hook pool, enter >=t0+5+3s if cap@5s 5-15k, exit last swap <=t0+600. w816 WETHHOOK60: WETH-quote HOOK pool, enter >=t0+60+3s if cap@60s 40-100k, exit last swap <=t0+600.
- buyers_60s / depth_5m filters dropped (measured after entry = look-ahead).
- Replay (analyst fit period incl.): n 127, mean 3.72x, <1x 1, pull 0
- FORWARD (entry from registration): n 4, mean 3.36x, <1x 0, pull 0
- Waiting 59; skipped {'cap outside window': 279, 'no supply': 11, 'no entry swap in time': 2}
- Kill: forward mean <1.05 at n>=20. Sell sim for hooked pools still to do (hn811).