# hw801 (#801 slow runner, ratio>=2.5, cap<300k, 12h, tp3/5/10): v4 native pools, first swap <=10min, buy at age>=5min cap 60-250k with >=3 sellers (#777) paper test (Test Manager 2) - 30 Oct 23:54 UTC
Spec: ledger #777 / analyst2 a2-777-rule.md. Analyst replay (assumed supply and ETH price) said 1.65-2.20x: treated as suspect. Here cap uses capx supply. Stop 0.5x, trail, 6 h, fee + 3% slip each side, pull (liq<=50% peak) and quiet = 0. Rows with src=replay are tape replay before registration; only src=fwd counts for the forward check.
- Native pools in tape: 485; with supply 408; waiting 304; open 0; skipped {'300s cap not 2x birth or outside 30-500k': 218, 'no supply': 11, '0cc hook (H3000) unsellable': 7, 'entry sell-sim BLOCK/tax (#4190)': 9}
- arm A (trail 100% tp3): on time n 91, mean 2.46x, <1x 12, tp 79, pull/quiet 8 | late (excluded) n 63, mean 2.04x, <1x 18, tp 45, pull/quiet 14
- arm B (trail 100% tp5): on time n 91, mean 3.42x, <1x 25, tp 66, pull/quiet 19 | late (excluded) n 63, mean 3.15x, <1x 21, tp 42, pull/quiet 16
- arm C (trail 100% tp10): on time n 91, mean 4.05x, <1x 52, tp 39, pull/quiet 44 | late (excluded) n 63, mean 4.64x, <1x 32, tp 31, pull/quiet 26